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HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142017
2100 UTC WED SEP 27 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  57.1W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  57.1W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  57.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 32.2N  57.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 34.3N  56.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 37.3N  53.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  35SE  20SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 100SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 41.0N  48.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 48.5N  30.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  90SE  90SW   0NW.
34 KT... 30NE 180SE 180SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N  57.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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