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Tropical Depression LEE (Text)


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142017
2100 UTC FRI SEP 22 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  48.9W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1014 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  48.9W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N  49.0W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 31.7N  48.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 32.3N  48.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 32.3N  47.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 32.1N  45.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.4N  43.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 30.5N  42.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 29.5N  43.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N  48.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Dec-2017 12:09:36 UTC