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Hurricane KATIA (Text)


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HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132017
2100 UTC WED SEP 06 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE COAST
OF THE STATE OF VERACRUZ FROM TUXPAN TO LAGUNA VERDE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TUXPAN TO LAGUNA VERDE

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  95.1W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 135 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  95.1W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  95.2W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 21.5N  94.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  45SE  45SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.3N  94.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  55SE  70SW  65NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.1N  95.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 20.9N  95.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 19.5N  98.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N  95.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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Page last modified: Monday, 16-Oct-2017 12:09:42 UTC