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HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 53
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
1500 UTC MON SEP 18 2017
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS
...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 3(13) 2(15)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) 2(13)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 4(13) 1(14)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) 4(17) 2(19)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 5(15) 5(20) 1(21)
PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 6(19) 5(24) 3(27)
WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) 7(26) 5(31) 2(33)
SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 8(17) 6(23) 5(28) 1(29)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 12(21) 8(29) 7(36) 2(38)
BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
HYANNIS MA 34 X 2( 2) 15(17) 20(37) 11(48) 7(55) 2(57)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) X(10)
HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X 5( 5) 20(25) 22(47) 12(59) 6(65) 2(67)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) 4(19) X(19)
NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X 2( 2) 13(15) 15(30) 8(38) 6(44) 2(46)
PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X 4( 4) 10(14) 9(23) 4(27) 5(32) 2(34)
NEW HAVEN CT 34 X 3( 3) 11(14) 9(23) 5(28) 5(33) 2(35)
HARTFORD CT 34 X 2( 2) 10(12) 9(21) 5(26) 6(32) 2(34)
NEW LONDON CT 34 X 4( 4) 13(17) 13(30) 7(37) 6(43) 1(44)
NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) 3(14) 1(15)
POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13) 5(18) 4(22) 1(23)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X 6( 6) 17(23) 15(38) 7(45) 6(51) 1(52)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ISLIP NY 34 X 6( 6) 13(19) 8(27) 5(32) 6(38) 1(39)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X 5( 5) 10(15) 7(22) 4(26) 5(31) 1(32)
NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X 4( 4) 9(13) 7(20) 3(23) 5(28) 1(29)
NEWARK NJ 34 X 4( 4) 8(12) 6(18) 4(22) 4(26) 1(27)
TRENTON NJ 34 X 5( 5) 7(12) 4(16) 4(20) 3(23) 1(24)
NWS EARLE NJ 34 X 6( 6) 10(16) 6(22) 3(25) 4(29) 2(31)
ALLENTOWN PA 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) 2(13) 3(16) 1(17)
PHILADELPHIA 34 X 5( 5) 7(12) 4(16) 3(19) 3(22) 1(23)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 1 6( 7) 10(17) 5(22) 2(24) 4(28) 1(29)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) 2(11) 1(12)
DOVER DE 34 1 5( 6) 7(13) 2(15) 2(17) 3(20) 1(21)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) X(10) 2(12) 1(13)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 3 5( 8) 8(16) 4(20) 2(22) 4(26) 1(27)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 3 7(10) 8(18) 3(21) 2(23) 3(26) 2(28)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 1 5( 6) 4(10) 1(11) 1(12) 2(14) 1(15)
WALLOPS CDA 34 3 5( 8) 7(15) 2(17) 1(18) 3(21) 1(22)
RICHMOND VA 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
NORFOLK NAS 34 3 4( 7) 4(11) 1(12) 1(13) 1(14) 1(15)
NORFOLK VA 34 3 4( 7) 4(11) 1(12) 1(13) 1(14) 1(15)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 3 4( 7) 4(11) 2(13) X(13) 2(15) 1(16)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 3 4( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12) 1(13) 2(15)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 4 5( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) 1(14) 1(15)
CHERRY PT NC 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
NEW RIVER NC 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 1( 8)
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
NNNN
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