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Hurricane JOSE (Text)


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HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
0300 UTC TUE SEP 12 2017

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1
NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS
...85 MPH...140 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

DANVILLE VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

ROCKY MT NC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)

FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

CHERRY PT NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)

NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)

SURF CITY NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)

WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)

BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)
BALD HEAD ISL  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

FLORENCE SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

LITTLE RIVER   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)

MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)

GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)

CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)

BEAUFORT MCAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

AUGUSTA GA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

KINGS BAY GA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

WAYCROSS GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

MAYPORT NS FL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

JACKSONVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

GAINESVILLE FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

THE VILLAGES   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

ORLANDO FL     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

PATRICK AFB    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

FT LAUDERDALE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)

ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)

SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   4(14)

MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)

GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)

$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD
NNNN

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Page last modified: Monday, 23-Oct-2017 12:09:33 UTC