| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

Hurricane JOSE (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC MON SEP 11 2017

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS
...105 MPH...165 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

BEAUFORT MCAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

KINGS BAY GA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

MAYPORT NS FL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

JACKSONVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

GAINESVILLE FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

THE VILLAGES   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

ORLANDO FL     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

PATRICK AFB    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)

W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)

FT LAUDERDALE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

HOMESTEAD ARB  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

MARATHON FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

NAPLES FL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

FT MYERS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

TAMPA FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)
GRAND BAHAMA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
GRAND BAHAMA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
NEW PROVIDENCE 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)

GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)
GREAT EXUMA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
GREAT EXUMA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  19(29)
SAN SALVADOR   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)
SAN SALVADOR   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)  10(22)
MAYAGUANA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
MAYAGUANA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

GRAND TURK     34  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   3( 4)  12(16)   4(20)
GRAND TURK     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
GRAND TURK     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

CAMAGUEY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD
NNNN

Standard version of this page

Alternate Formats
About Alternates - E-Mail Advisories - RSS Feeds

Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory - Past Advisories - About Advisories

Marine Forecasts
Latest Products - About Marine Products

Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery - US Weather Radar - Aircraft Recon - Local Data Archive - Forecast Verification - Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense

Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names Wind Scale - Prepare - Climatology - NHC Glossary - NHC Acronyms - Frequently Asked Questions - AOML Hurricane-Research Division

About Us
About NHC - Mission/Vision - Other NCEP Centers - NHC Staff - Visitor Information - NHC Library

Contact Us


NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Sunday, 31-Dec-2017 12:09:33 UTC