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Hurricane JOSE (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC SUN SEP 10 2017

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115
KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
NEW PROVIDENCE 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)
GREAT EXUMA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
GREAT EXUMA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   6(11)  21(32)
SAN SALVADOR   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)
SAN SALVADOR   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

MAYAGUANA      34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   3( 9)  11(20)  15(35)
MAYAGUANA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)
MAYAGUANA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

GRAND TURK     34  1   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   5(12)  17(29)  13(42)
GRAND TURK     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)
GRAND TURK     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)

GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

PUERTO PLATA   34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   5( 8)   6(14)

SANTO DOMINGO  34  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)

AGUADILLA PR   34  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)

SAN JUAN PR    34  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD
NNNN

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Page last modified: Monday, 23-Oct-2017 12:09:33 UTC