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HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
2100 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6
NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 130
KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 3(13) 1(14)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
PONCE PR 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
AGUADILLA PR 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11)
SAN JUAN PR 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 5(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15)
SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
VIEQUES PR 34 X 2( 2) 10(12) 4(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17)
VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X 4( 4) 25(29) 4(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34)
SAINT THOMAS 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
SAINT CROIX 34 1 3( 4) 8(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
SAINT CROIX 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 2 64(66) 15(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
SAINT MAARTEN 50 X 17(17) 23(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
SAINT MAARTEN 64 X 5( 5) 12(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 2 39(41) 6(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BARBUDA 34 19 75(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
BARBUDA 50 1 64(65) 1(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
BARBUDA 64 X 36(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
ANTIGUA 34 10 58(68) 1(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
ANTIGUA 50 1 20(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
ANTIGUA 64 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GUADELOUPE 34 4 11(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
GUADELOUPE 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
AVES 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
DOMINICA 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MARTINIQUE 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
NNNN
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