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Hurricane JOSE


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BULLETIN
Hurricane Jose Intermediate Advisory Number 19A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122017
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 AM AST Sun Sep 10 2017

...CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE JOSE PASSING WELL NORTHEAST OF PUERTO
RICO...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.4N 64.0W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM NNW OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...944 MB...27.88 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* St. Martin
* Sint Maarten
* St. Barthelemy

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jose was located
near latitude 20.4 North, longitude 64.0 West. Jose is moving toward
the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h) and this motion is expected to
continue today. A slower forward motion is expected on Monday as
Jose makes a turn toward the north.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher
gusts. Jose is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150
miles (240 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 944 mb (27.88 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions, primarily in gusts, are expected
within the tropical storm warning areas through this morning.

SURF:  Swells generated by Jose are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and the northern coast of
Puerto Rico, and will begin to affect Hispaniola, portions of the
Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands over the next couple of
days. These swells are likely to produce life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Birchard/Blake

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