ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Hurricane Jose Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
500 PM AST Fri Sep 08 2017
...JOSE REMAINS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
...HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PARTS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of the Antigua has issued a Hurricane Warning for
Barbuda and Anguilla.
The government of France has issued a Hurricane Warning for St.
Martin and Barthelemy.
The government of Sint Maarten has issued a Hurricane Warning for
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Barbuda and Anguilla
* Sint Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Saba and St. Eustatius
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Montserrat, St Kitts, and Nevis
* British Virgin Islands
* St. Thomas and St. John
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Jose was located
near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 58.3 West. Jose is moving toward
the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). A turn toward the
northwest with a decrease in forward speed is forecast tonight
through the weekend. On the forecast track, the core of Jose will
pass close or just east of the northern Leeward Islands.
Maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher
gusts. Jose is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuation in intensity, up or down,
could occur during the next day or so. Gradual weakening is
expected after that.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
The estimated minimum central pressure is 940 mb (27.76 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: Hurricane conditions are likely within the hurricane warning
area on Saturday. Hurricane conditions are also possible within
the hurricane watch area on Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are
expected within the tropical storm warning areas by Saturday
morning. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the tropical
storm watch area in the northeastern Leeward Islands by Saturday
morning and in the watch area in the Virgin Islands by Saturday
RAINFALL: Jose is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches in the Leeward Islands from Guadeloupe to Anguilla,
with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches. Jose is also expected to
produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over the Virgin
Islands and Dominica. This rainfall will maintain any ongoing
flooding and may cause additional life-threatening flooding.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast in
the hurricane warning areas. Near the coast,the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.
SURF: Swells generated by Jose are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.