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Hurricane JOSE (Text)


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HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  55
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
0300 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WATCH HILL TO HULL
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO PORT JEFFERSON
* NEW HAVEN TO WATCH HILL

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOSE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N  71.3W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......190NE 200SE 110SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 270SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N  71.3W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.8N  71.4W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 36.2N  71.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 37.8N  70.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 140SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 39.1N  69.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 150SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.8N  68.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 39.4N  67.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 38.5N  67.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 38.0N  68.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.2N  71.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Dec-2017 12:09:28 UTC