| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

Hurricane JOSE (Text)


ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  54
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
2100 UTC MON SEP 18 2017
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM FENWICK 
ISLAND... DELAWARE TO FIRE ISLAND INLET... NEW YORK.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WATCH HILL TO HULL
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO PORT JEFFERSON
* NEW HAVEN TO WATCH HILL
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOSE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N  71.1W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......190NE 200SE 110SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..275NE 270SE 240SW 235NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N  71.1W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.4N  71.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 35.9N  71.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...190NE 200SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 37.4N  70.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 140SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 38.9N  70.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 39.9N  68.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 140SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 40.0N  67.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 160NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 39.4N  67.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 38.5N  68.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.8N  71.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
NNNN

Standard version of this page

Alternate Formats
About Alternates - E-Mail Advisories - RSS Feeds

Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory - Past Advisories - About Advisories

Marine Forecasts
Latest Products - About Marine Products

Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery - US Weather Radar - Aircraft Recon - Local Data Archive - Forecast Verification - Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense

Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names Wind Scale - Prepare - Climatology - NHC Glossary - NHC Acronyms - Frequently Asked Questions - AOML Hurricane-Research Division

About Us
About NHC - Mission/Vision - Other NCEP Centers - NHC Staff - Visitor Information - NHC Library

Contact Us


NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Sunday, 10-Dec-2017 12:09:34 UTC