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HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
0300 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND ON THE EAST
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR A PORTION OF THE
COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA ON SATURDAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  71.0W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 150SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  71.0W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  70.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 28.1N  71.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 29.2N  72.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 30.6N  72.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 32.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 34.6N  71.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 140SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 37.5N  71.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 41.0N  68.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N  71.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
 
 
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