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TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
0300 UTC FRI SEP 15 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND ON THE EAST
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  68.0W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  68.0W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  67.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 26.1N  69.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 26.9N  70.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 27.9N  72.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 29.0N  72.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 31.4N  72.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 34.2N  71.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 37.0N  70.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N  68.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
 
 
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