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TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
1500 UTC THU SEP 14 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N  66.6W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  80SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N  66.6W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  66.2W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 25.1N  67.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 25.8N  69.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 26.7N  70.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 27.7N  72.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 29.8N  72.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE  80SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 32.4N  72.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 35.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.9N  66.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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