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HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
2100 UTC SAT SEP 09 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR BARBUDA AND ANGUILLA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. MARTIN
* SINT MAARTEN
* ST. BARTHELEMY

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  62.4W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 100SE  50SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 170SE  60SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  62.4W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  61.9W

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 20.4N  64.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 22.0N  66.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.7N  67.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.0N  69.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 26.3N  69.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 26.1N  67.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 25.0N  67.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N  62.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD


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