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TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC WED SEP 06 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JOSE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  44.5W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  44.5W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  43.8W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 13.7N  46.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  35SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 14.3N  49.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  55SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 14.8N  52.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 55NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 95NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 15.4N  55.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...105NE  75SE  50SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.3N  58.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  60SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 20.2N  61.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 23.6N  64.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N  44.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTERS CARBIN/BANN/LAMERS


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