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TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
0300 UTC WED SEP 06 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE FUTURE PROGRESS
OF JOSE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  41.7W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..105NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  41.7W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  41.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 12.8N  43.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 13.5N  46.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 14.2N  49.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 14.9N  52.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.7N  57.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  50SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 19.2N  59.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 22.4N  62.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N  41.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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