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Hurricane IRMA (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE IRMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  46                  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112017               
1500 UTC SUN SEP 10 2017                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.0
NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115   
KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H.                                           
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
FLORENCE SC    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   7( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
BEAUFORT MCAS  34  X  13(13)   4(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
ATLANTA GA     34  X   3( 3)  12(15)   7(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   7( 7)   7(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X  18(18)   6(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
KINGS BAY GA   34  6  42(48)   4(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
KINGS BAY GA   50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
WAYCROSS GA    34  5  38(43)  18(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
WAYCROSS GA    50  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MAYPORT NS FL  34  8  46(54)   3(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
MAYPORT NS FL  50  X   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  8  51(59)   6(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
JACKSONVILLE   50  X   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
GAINESVILLE FL 34 24  69(93)   1(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
GAINESVILLE FL 50  1  53(54)   3(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
GAINESVILLE FL 64  X   8( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34 48  34(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
DAYTONA BEACH  50  3  10(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
DAYTONA BEACH  64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
THE VILLAGES   34 68  30(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
THE VILLAGES   50  5  72(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
THE VILLAGES   64  X  19(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
ORLANDO FL     34 80  14(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
ORLANDO FL     50  8  50(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
ORLANDO FL     64  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34 78   8(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
COCOA BEACH FL 50  6   7(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
COCOA BEACH FL 64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
PATRICK AFB    34 78   8(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
PATRICK AFB    50  6   8(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
PATRICK AFB    64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34 84   2(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
FT PIERCE FL   50 11   3(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
FT PIERCE FL   64  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
W PALM BEACH   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
W PALM BEACH   50 14   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
W PALM BEACH   64  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
FT LAUDERDALE  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
FT LAUDERDALE  50 34   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
FT LAUDERDALE  64  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
MIAMI FL       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MIAMI FL       50 80   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
MIAMI FL       64  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HOMESTEAD ARB  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HOMESTEAD ARB  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HOMESTEAD ARB  64  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MARATHON FL    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MARATHON FL    50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MARATHON FL    64 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
KEY WEST FL    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
KEY WEST FL    50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
KEY WEST FL    64 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
NAPLES FL      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NAPLES FL      50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NAPLES FL      64 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
FT MYERS FL    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
FT MYERS FL    50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
FT MYERS FL    64 96   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 
VENICE FL      34 99   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
VENICE FL      50 92   4(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
VENICE FL      64 55  24(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)
 
TAMPA FL       34 91   8(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
TAMPA FL       50 35  60(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
TAMPA FL       64  4  74(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34 43  53(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
CEDAR KEY FL   50  4  72(76)   1(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
CEDAR KEY FL   64  X  49(49)   2(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  5  41(46)  25(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50  X   7( 7)  26(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
TALLAHASSEE FL 64  X   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  6  51(57)  16(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
ST MARKS FL    50  X  12(12)  26(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
ST MARKS FL    64  X   1( 1)   9(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  6  35(41)   6(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
APALACHICOLA   50  X   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  8  35(43)   1(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
GFMX 290N 850W 50  X   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34  4  20(24)   6(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
PANAMA CITY FL 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  X   9( 9)  29(38)   7(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
COLUMBUS GA    50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
BIRMINGHAM AL  34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)  11(17)   2(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34  X   6( 6)   7(13)   6(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
WHITING FLD FL 34  X   8( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34  X   8( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34  3   7(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
MOBILE AL      34  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34 32   3(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  6   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ANDROS         34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CP SAN ANTONIO 34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HAVANA         34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
ISLE OF PINES  34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CIENFUEGOS     34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Sunday, 22-Oct-2017 12:09:26 UTC