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Hurricane IRMA (Text)


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HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112017
1500 UTC SUN SEP 03 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
IRMA.  HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED
FOR PORTIONS OF THESE ISLANDS LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  48.4W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 150SE 150SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  48.4W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  47.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.1N  50.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 16.6N  52.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 16.4N  54.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 16.7N  56.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.2N  61.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  90SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 20.4N  67.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 22.5N  72.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N  48.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Tuesday, 17-Oct-2017 12:09:18 UTC