| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

Potential Tropical Cyclone TEN (Text)


ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Intermediate Advisory Number 8A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102017
200 PM EDT Tue Aug 29 2017

...DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.3N 75.8W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM WNW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM S OF MANTEO NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Lookout to Duck
* Albemarle Sound
* Pamlico Sound

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the disturbance was centered over Pamlico
Sound near latitude 35.3 North, longitude 75.8 West.  The system
is moving toward the northeast near 20 mph (31 km/h), and it is
expected to accelerate further toward the northeast and
east-northeast during the next couple of days.  The disturbance is
forecast to move off the coast of North Carolina later today and
then move away from the coast over the western Atlantic Ocean
tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts.  The disturbance is not expected to change much in strength
until it begins to move away from the coast of North Carolina
tonight, and it is not likely to become a tropical cyclone.
Tropical-storm-force winds, especially in gusts, and heavy rains are
still possible over portions of the Outer Banks of North Carolina
for the next few hours.  The disturbance is forecast to strengthen
at sea and become a hurricane-force extratropical low over the
northwestern Atlantic Ocean by Wednesday evening.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
to the southeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are still possible within the
warning area through this afternoon.

RAINFALL:  The system is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches with isolated amounts of 5 inches
along the northeast North Carolina and southeast Virginia coasts
into the Delmarva through Wednesday. The heavier rains may result in
some flooding concerns along coastal areas.

SURF:  Swells generated by this disturbance will affect portions of
the North Carolina and Virginia coasts during the next day or so,
creating dangerous surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg

NNNN

Standard version of this page

Alternate Formats
About Alternates - E-Mail Advisories - RSS Feeds

Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory - Past Advisories - About Advisories

Marine Forecasts
Latest Products - About Marine Products

Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery - US Weather Radar - Aircraft Recon - Local Data Archive - Forecast Verification - Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense

Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names Wind Scale - Prepare - Climatology - NHC Glossary - NHC Acronyms - Frequently Asked Questions - AOML Hurricane-Research Division

About Us
About NHC - Mission/Vision - Other NCEP Centers - NHC Staff - Visitor Information - NHC Library

Contact Us


NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 23-Oct-2017 12:09:20 UTC