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BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102017
1100 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...DISTURBANCE LOCATED VERY NEAR THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST...
...PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.5N 80.0W
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM SSW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM SW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* North of Surf City to Duck
* Albemarle Sound
* Pamlico Sound

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Surf City to South Santee River

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the disturbance was centered near
latitude 32.5 North, longitude 80.0 West.  The system is moving
toward the north-northeast near 7 mph (11 km/h).  A faster
northeast motion is expected during the next couple of days.  On
the forecast track, the system will move near or over the coast of
South Carolina tonight and across the North Carolina Outer Banks on
Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts.  The disturbance is not expected to change much in strength
tonight or early Tuesday and the chances for the system to become a
tropical cyclone appear to be decreasing.  Regardless of whether or
not this system becomes a tropical cyclone, tropical-storm-force
winds and heavy rains are expected over portions of the Carolinas
during the next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
southeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area tonight and Tuesday and tropical storm conditions are possible
in the watch area tonight.

RAINFALL:  The system is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 3 to 6 inches along northeastern South
Carolina, North Carolina, and southeast Virginia coasts, with
possible isolated maximum amounts of 9 inches.  The heavier rains
may result in some flooding concerns along coastal areas.

SURF:  Swells generated by this disturbance will affect portions of
the South Carolina, North Carolina, and Virginia coasts during the
next day or so, creating dangerous surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

TORNADOES:  A brief tornado is possible tonight through midday
Tuesday along the South Carolina and North Carolina coasts.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

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