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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102017
0900 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
TO LITTLE RIVER INLET.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK
* ALBEMARLE SOUND
* PAMLICO SOUND
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SURF CITY TO LITTLE RIVER INLET
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N  78.5W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N  78.5W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.8N  79.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 35.4N  76.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 38.0N  71.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 39.5N  66.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 270SE 180SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 41.0N  61.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...240NE 330SE 270SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 44.5N  50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  90SE  90SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 300SE 330SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 50.0N  33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 55.0N  19.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.5N  78.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
 
 
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