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TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092017
1500 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED EASTWARD TO MORGAN
CITY LOUISIANA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO
GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PORT O'CONNOR TO MESQUITE BAY
HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO GRAND ISLE
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT BOLIVAR TO MORGAN CITY
 
CATASTROPHIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING CONTINUES IN SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA.  PLEASE SEE WARNINGS
AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION.
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  94.3W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  94.3W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  94.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 28.8N  94.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 29.8N  93.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 30.8N  92.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 32.0N  92.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 34.5N  89.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 36.5N  86.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 38.5N  81.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N  94.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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