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Hurricane GERT (Text)


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HURRICANE GERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082017
0300 UTC WED AUG 16 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N  70.3W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  60SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N  70.3W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  71.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 36.3N  67.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  35SE  15SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 130SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 38.5N  62.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  35SE  15SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 130SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 41.1N  54.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  70SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE 130SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 44.9N  46.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  70SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 160SE 140SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 53.0N  35.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 110SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 55.5N  31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.8N  70.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Tuesday, 17-Oct-2017 12:09:11 UTC