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Tropical Depression EIGHT (Text)


ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082017
1500 UTC SUN AUG 13 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  71.5W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  71.5W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  71.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 29.1N  72.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 30.7N  72.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 32.5N  71.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 34.6N  70.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 39.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  40SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 42.5N  49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 47.0N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N  71.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Tuesday, 17-Oct-2017 12:09:11 UTC