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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082017
0300 UTC SUN AUG 13 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  70.3W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  70.3W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  69.7W

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 27.0N  71.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 29.0N  71.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 30.7N  72.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 32.2N  71.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 36.2N  66.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 41.5N  54.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 45.5N  39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N  70.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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