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TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072017
0300 UTC TUE AUG 08 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE COAST
OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM PUERTO DE VERACRUZ NORTHWARD TO RIO PANUCO.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED SOUTHWARD FROM
CAMPECHE TO SABANCUY... AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
WEST OF SABANCUY TO EAST OF PUERTO DE VERACRUZ.  THE HURRICANE WATCH
FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO DE VERACRUZ TO RIO PANUCO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BELIZE/MEXICO BORDER
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO SABANCUY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM SABANCUY TO PUERTO DE VERACRUZ

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  87.3W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  45SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  87.3W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  86.6W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.7N  88.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE   0SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.2N  91.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.5N  93.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.6N  95.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 20.0N 100.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N  87.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG

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