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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062017
2100 UTC MON JUL 31 2017
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  81.7W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  81.7W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  82.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 28.4N  80.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 29.9N  78.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 31.4N  76.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 33.0N  74.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 35.6N  68.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 38.1N  61.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.8N  81.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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