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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022017
0900 UTC MON JUN 19 2017
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
* TRINIDAD
* TOBAGO
* GRENADA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR  8.4N  54.5W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  8.4N  54.5W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  8.2N  53.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z  9.3N  57.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 10.4N  61.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 11.5N  64.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...80NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 12.4N  67.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 13.5N  74.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  8.4N  54.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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