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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202016
0900 UTC SUN OCT 23 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 103.6W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 103.6W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 103.0W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.8N 105.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.7N 107.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.4N 110.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.1N 112.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.0N 117.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 18.8N 120.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 20.5N 122.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 103.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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