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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ORLENE ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162016
200 PM PDT SUN SEP 11 2016

...ORLENE GETTING STRONGER AND FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON
MONDAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 117.7W
ABOUT 680 MI...1095 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Orlene was
located near latitude 16.3 North, longitude 117.7 West.  Orlene is
moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h).  A turn toward
the north-northwest and then north with a significant decrease in
forward speed is expected during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during
the next 48 hours, and Orlene is expected to become a hurricane on
Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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