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HURRICANE ORLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162016
0300 UTC TUE SEP 13 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 119.1W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 119.1W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 119.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 19.2N 119.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.7N 119.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.9N 119.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.8N 120.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.3N 125.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 18.9N 130.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 19.0N 133.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 119.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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