ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
HURRICANE NEWTON ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152016
900 PM MDT TUE SEP 06 2016

...CENTER OF NEWTON MOVING INTO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...
...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.3N 112.0W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM E OF SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SW OF GUAYMAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Hurricane Warning for
the west coast of the Baja California peninsula and discontinued
the Tropical Storm Warning south of Puerto San Andresito.

The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Hurricane Warning for
the east coast of the Baja California peninsula and has extended
the Tropical Storm Warning south to Loreto.

The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning
for the northwest coast of mainland Mexico south of Topolobampo.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Guaymas to Puerto Libertad

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Puerto San Andresito to Punta Abreojos
* Loreto to Bahia San Juan Bautista
* Topolobampo to Guaymas

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.  In the southwestern
United States, see products issued by your local National Weather
Service office for information on possible heavy rains, flooding,
and high winds.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Newton was located
near latitude 27.3 North, longitude 112.0 West.  Newton is moving
toward the north near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this motion should
continue tonight.  A turn toward the north-northeast is expected on
Wednesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Newton will move
across the Gulf of California tonight and make landfall along the
coast of northwestern Mexico in the hurricane warning area early
Wednesday.  After landfall, the center of Newton will move inland
over northwestern Mexico and move into southeastern Arizona by
Wednesday afternoon.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Little change in strength is expected before landfall in
northwestern Mexico early Wednesday, with rapid weakening expected
afterward.  Newton is forecast to weaken to a tropical storm shortly
after landfall and dissipate by early Thursday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles
(370 km).  A wind gust of 44 mph (71 km/h) was recently reported in
Topolobampo.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  For the Mexican mainland, hurricane conditions are expected
within the hurricane warning area by early Wednesday morning, and
preparations to protect life and property should be complete.
Tropical storm conditions will continue spreading northward tonight
within the warning area in northwestern Mexico.

For the Baja California peninsula, tropical storm conditions will
gradually subside during the next few hours.

Tropical storm conditions could spread into portions of southeastern
Arizona by Wednesday afternoon.

RAINFALL:  Newton is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
8 to 12 inches over the Mexican state of Baja California Sur, and 4
to 8 inches over northern Sinaloa and Sonora states through
Wednesday.  Isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches are possible in
Baja California Sur.  Moisture associated with Newton is expected to
produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches with locally
higher amounts over southeastern Arizona and southern New Mexico
through Thursday.  In all of these locations, heavy rain could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in
mountainous terrain.

STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding near and to the east of the track of
the center within the hurricane warning area.  Near the coast, the
surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
Elsewhere, elevated water levels are expected in areas of onshore
wind.

SURF:  Large swells generated by Newton are expected to affect the
coast of southwestern Mexico through tonight, but will begin to
subside on Wednesday.  Large swells are occurring along the coast of
Baja California Sur and should spread northward through the Gulf of
California tonight and Wednesday.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1200 AM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Brennan

NNNN