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BULLETIN
HURRICANE NEWTON ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152016
900 AM MDT TUE SEP 06 2016

...NEWTON BATTERING BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITH STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY
RAINS...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.1N 111.1W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM NW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM W OF LA PAZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cabo San Lazaro to Mulege, including Cabo San Lucas
* Guaymas to Bahia Kino

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* North of Cabo San Lazaro to Punta Abreojos
* North of Mulege to Bahia San Juan Bautista
* Mazatlan to Guaymas
* Bahia Kino to Puerto Libertad

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Bahia Kino to Puerto Libertad

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Newton was located
near latitude 24.1 North, longitude 111.1 West.  Newton is moving
toward the northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue today.  A turn toward the north is expected by
tonight.  On the forecast track, the center of Newton will pass
over Baja California Sur today, and emerge over the Gulf of
California late this afternoon or evening.  The center of Newton
should reach the coast of northwestern Mexico early Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated to have decreased near 80 mph
(130 km/h) with higher gusts.  Gradual weakening is expected during
the next 24 hours, and rapid weakening should occur once Newton
moves well inland over northwestern Mexico on Wednesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  For the Baja California peninsula, hurricane and tropical
storm conditions are occurring over much of the southern portion of
the Baja California peninsula. These hazardous wind conditions will
spread northward during the remainder of the morning, and into the
afternoon within the warning areas.  Preparations to protect life
and property should have been completed.

For the Mexican mainland, hurricane conditions are expected within
the hurricane warning area by early Wednesday morning. Tropical
storm conditions are expected over northwestern Mexico within the
warning area beginning this morning, and these conditions will
gradually spread northward throughout the day and into tonight.

RAINFALL:  Newton is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
8 to 12 inches over the Mexican state of Baja California Sur, and 5
to 10 inches over the Mexican states of Sinaloa, Sonora, western
Nayarit, and Jalisco, and a small part of Baja California Norte
through Wednesday.  Isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches are
possible in Baja California Sur. Moisture associated with Newton is
expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches with
locally higher amounts over southeastern Arizona and southwestern
New Mexico through Thursday.  In all of these locations, heavy rain
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially
in mountainous terrain.

STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding near and to the east of the center
on the southern Baja California peninsula and mainland Mexico.  Near
the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive
waves.

SURF:  Large swells generated by Newton are expected to affect the
coast of southwestern Mexico through today, but begin to subside on
Wednesday.  Large swells are occurring along the coast of Baja
California Sur and should spread northward through the Gulf of
California today and Wednesday.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1200 PM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain

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