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HURRICANE NEWTON ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152016
900 PM MDT MON SEP 05 2016

...NEWTON CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN AS IT APPROACHES BAJA
CALIFORNIA...
...NEW WARNINGS AND WATCHES ISSUED...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.3N 109.0W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 215 MI...350 KM SSE OF LA PAZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has made several changes to warnings and
watches with this advisory.  The Hurricane Warning along the east
coast of the Baja California peninsula has been extended northward
to Mulege.  A Hurricane Watch has been issued along the coast
of mainland Mexico from Guaymas to Puerto Libertad.  The Tropical
Storm Watch from Mazatlan to south of Bahia Tempehuaya has been
upgraded to a Tropical Storm Warning. The Tropical Storm Warning has
been discontinued from Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cabo San Lazaro to Mulege, including Cabo San Lucas

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* North of Cabo San Lazaro to Punta Abreojos
* North of Mulege to Bahia San Juan Bautista
* Mazatlan to Puerto Libertad

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Guaymas to Puerto Libertad

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within 24 to 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Newton was located
near latitude 21.3 North, longitude 109.0 West. Newton is moving
toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion
is expected to continue through early Tuesday.  A turn toward the
north-northwest, and then to the north, are expected late Tuesday
and Wednesday.  On the forecast track, Newton should be near or over
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula early Tuesday
morning, move over portions of the southern Baja California
peninsula Tuesday, and move into northwestern Mexico on early
Wednesday morning.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast tonight,
before the hurricane reaches the southern Baja California peninsula.
Gradual weakening is expected after Newton makes landfall.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles
(260 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  For the Baja California peninsula, winds are expected to
reach tropical storm strength within the next few hours, with
hurricane conditions expected by early Tuesday morning.  These
conditions will spread northward over the Baja California peninsula
through Tuesday.  Preparations to protect life and property should
be near completion.

For the Mexican mainland, tropical storm conditions are expected
over northwestern Mexico within the warning area beginning Tuesday
morning, and these conditions will gradually spread northward
throughout the day.  Hurricane conditions are possible within the
Hurricane Watch area early Wednesday.

RAINFALL:  Newton is expected to produce rainfall totals of 5 to 10
inches for coastal portions of the Mexican states of Michoacan,
Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, Sinaloa and Sonora as well as much of the
state of Baja California Sur, with isolated maximum amounts of 15
inches through Tuesday night.  These rains could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of
mountainous terrain.  Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are
expected across portions of southern Arizona and southwestern New
Mexico from late Wednesday into Thursday, with localized amounts of
up to 3 inches possible.  These rains could result in dangerous
flash flooding.

STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the
center makes landfall on both the southern Baja California
peninsula and mainland Mexico.  Near the coast, the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.

SURF:  Large swells generated by Newton are expected to affect the
coast of southwestern Mexico through Tuesday, and begin to subside
on Wednesday.  Swells should increase across the southern and
central portions of the Baja California peninsula today and Tuesday.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1200 AM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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