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TROPICAL STORM KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122016
0900 UTC SAT AUG 20 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 113.0W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE  50SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 113.0W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 112.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.0N 113.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  20SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.6N 114.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.2N 115.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.7N 116.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 22.5N 118.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 23.2N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 23.5N 123.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 113.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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