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TROPICAL STORM KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122016
0900 UTC FRI AUG 19 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 110.9W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 110.9W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 110.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.1N 111.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.0N 111.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.6N 112.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.7N 113.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 22.5N 114.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 23.0N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 110.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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