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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122016
800 AM PDT TUE AUG 23 2016
Kay has become a convectionless swirl of low clouds over sea surface
temperatures of less than 25C. Unless the convection makes an
unexpected return, the cyclone should degenerate to a remnant low
pressure area later today. All of the global models now show the
remnant low dissipating in less than two days, so the official
forecast follows this scenario.
Kay turned more to the right after the scatterometer overpass
mentioned in the previous advisory, and the initial motion is now
295/7. A turn back toward the west is likely before the system
dissipates completely.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 23/1500Z 22.7N 120.1W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 24/0000Z 23.1N 121.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 24/1200Z 23.3N 123.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 25/0000Z 23.3N 124.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Beven
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