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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112016
900 AM MDT TUE AUG 09 2016

...JAVIER EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW SOON...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 111.2W
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM NW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 100 MI...155 KM SE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Javier
was located near latitude 23.8 North, longitude 111.2 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and
this general motion is expected to continue through Wednesday.  On
the forecast track, the center will continue to move near or over
the southern Baja California peninsula for the next day or two.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast, and Javier is likely to become a remnant low
by Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Javier is expected to produce storm total rainfall of 2
to 4 inches over Baja California Sur and northwest Mexico through
Thursday morning, with maximum amounts of up to 8 inches possible.
Moisture partially related to Javier has spread into Arizona and
New Mexico, where 2 to 4 inches of rain, with isolated amounts of
up to 8 inches, are possible through Thursday.  The expected
rainfall could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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