ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JAVIER ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112016
900 PM MDT MON AUG 08 2016

...JAVIER WEAKENS SLIGHTLY WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA...
...HURRICANE WATCH DISCONTINUED...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.5N 109.7W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Hurricane Watch for
the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* San Evaristo to Cabo San Lazaro

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* San Evaristo to Loreto
* Cabo San Lazaro to Puerto San Andresito

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Javier was
located near latitude 22.5 North, longitude 109.7 West. Javier is
moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue through Tuesday.  On the forecast
track, the center of Javier will pass near or over the southern tip
of the Baja California tonight, and move near the west coast of Baja
California Sur on Tuesday.

Reports from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum
sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some fluctuations in strength will be possible while the
center passes near the southern Baja California peninsula tonight
and early Tuesday. A weakening trend is forecast to begin by Tuesday
afternoon.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

Reports from the NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the
minimum central pressure is estimated to be 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Javier is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
2 to 4 inches over Baja California Sur and coastal parts of the
Mexican states of Sinaloa and southern Sonora through Wednesday
morning, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches. These
rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical
storm warning area over the southern portion of the Baja California
peninsula later tonight.  Tropical storm conditions are possible
within the tropical storm watch area over the southern portion of
the Baja California peninsula on Tuesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1200 AM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

NNNN