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TROPICAL STORM IVETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102016
2100 UTC THU AUG 04 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 127.3W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 127.3W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 126.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.8N 129.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.0N 131.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.5N 133.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.1N 134.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.4N 137.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 18.5N 141.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 19.0N 144.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 127.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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