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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082016
0300 UTC FRI JUL 22 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 115.0W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 115.0W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 114.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 12.3N 116.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 13.1N 118.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.8N 120.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.4N 122.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.0N 125.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 17.4N 127.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 18.3N 129.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 115.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
 
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