ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062016
200 AM PDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...ESTELLE HOLDING STEADY BUT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.5N 117.6W
ABOUT 585 MI...940 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Estelle was
located near latitude 18.5 North, longitude 117.6 West. Estelle is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h).  A motion
toward the west or west-northwest with some increase in forward
speed is expected over the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some strengthening is possible during the next day or so,
and Estelle could still become a hurricane later today. Gradual
weakening is expected to begin on Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

NNNN