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TROPICAL STORM DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052016
1500 UTC WED JUL 13 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 112.4W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 112.4W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 111.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.3N 114.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.6N 116.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 15.9N 119.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.2N 121.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.8N 125.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 17.5N 129.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 18.5N 133.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 112.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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