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HURRICANE CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042016
2100 UTC TUE JUL 12 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 129.5W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 129.5W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 129.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.4N 130.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 19.6N 133.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 20.5N 135.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 21.3N 137.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 22.5N 141.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 23.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 24.0N 150.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 129.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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