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HURRICANE CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042016
1500 UTC MON JUL 11 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 125.5W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 125.5W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 125.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.5N 126.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.1N 128.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  20SE  15SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.1N 130.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  20SE  15SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 18.2N 132.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 20.1N 136.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 21.1N 140.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 21.6N 145.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 125.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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