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HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032016
0900 UTC FRI JUL 08 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 129.4W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 270SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 129.4W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 128.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.3N 130.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.7N 131.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.0N 132.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 21.8N 134.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 22.0N 138.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 21.0N 143.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 20.0N 147.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 129.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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