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TROPICAL STORM BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032016
0900 UTC MON JUL 04 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 113.2W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  75SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 113.2W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 112.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 13.2N 114.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.8N 117.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 14.2N 119.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 14.8N 122.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.1N 126.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 17.5N 130.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 19.4N 133.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 113.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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