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TROPICAL STORM OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162016
0900 UTC TUE NOV 22 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN ANDRES

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN NICARAGUA...COSTA RICA...AND PROVIDENCIA ISLAND
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OTTO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N  79.0W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N  79.0W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.7N  79.0W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 10.7N  79.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 10.9N  79.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 11.2N  80.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 11.2N  82.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 11.0N  85.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 10.5N  89.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 10.0N  93.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N  79.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


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